Kuznetsov vs Zekic by Vilcox
ATP Kitzbuhel will finally start with the first match scheduled for Monday between Joao Sousa and Mikhail Youzhny. First round matches are always very unpredictable but I found a very interesting bet that seems to have a big value. I'm talking about the second match scheduled for monday on Court Kuchenmeister between Andrey Kuznetsov and Miljan Zekic.
Andrey Kuznetsov (number 71 in the world) played a disappointing tournament last week in Hamburg as he lost only in the 2nd round against Florian Mayer (finalist of the tournament). He had his chances to win but he was not able to catch them. In fact, he had 2 break points leading 4-3 in the 3rd set but he failed both of them and he was broken in the next service game. Despite that bad loss, he is playing good tennis on clay and I'm saying this especially because of his tournament in Bastad before playing in Hamburg. In fact, he played amazing in Sweden as he was able to win against Struff, Carreno-Busta (the spanish served even for the match and then, after losing the 2nd set tiebreak, retired down 3-0 in the 3rd) and Schwartzman dropping only a set against Carreno Busta (and all of these players are very good on this surface especially Carreno-Busta and Schwartzman). The only player that was able to beat him was Dolgopolov (on his magic week that sometimes happen) in the semifinals. Maybe, after a very tough tournament physically and mentally, Kuznetsov was a little bit tired in Hamburg. His last match was about 5 days ago so he had time to recover his energy and he will be totally ready for the new tournament. He will meet a weak player considering his level.
Miljan Zekic (number 328 in the world) is coming to this tournament after playing qualifications. He defeated Giannessi in 3 sets and Tsitsipas in straight sets. He was big underdog in both of these matches. He started his clay season on April with 7 losses in a row. His game has blossomed in Umago as he won two qualification matches against Serdarusic and Napolitano but, after those games, the magic stopped and he lost in the first round in straight sets against Albot. Before qualifications here in Kitzbuhel, he decided to play a challenger in Cortina but he had bad results even in Italy as he lost only in the 2nd round against Cachin. With all of my respect, he is a "low level" player that play mostly challengers and even with bad results. His style of play should be not able to give problems to Andrey Kuznetsov.
I will bet on Andrey Kuznetsov to win in straight sets. As I explained before, the russian is playing very good on this surface and he will face a very weak player. To be honest, I see these odds as a gift.
|2-0||Unibet||1.54||10||0-2 LOST (-10 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.