Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz by SPC22

An extremely interesting game today. Austria started horrible into the new season. A cup fight against Ebreichsdorf (3rd league) which was won by Austria in penalties. A 0-3 loss at Altach and lately a disappointing 0-0 draw against AEL Limassol at home. After getting Westermann (HSV) and youngster Monschein (Admira) on board coach Thorsten Fink didn't think it would be that hard.


Sturm also had some trouble to start well. After a solid win in the Austrian cup they got 0-2 behind against St. Pölten at home. After a strong finish they managed to win the game 3-2. In the Europa League qualifiers Sturm lost 1-2 to Fenerbahce at home. It's up and down for Sturm the last weeks. The win in the cup was solid. The game against St. Pölten was lights and darks with a little bit more darks and a bit of luck in the end. They did some good effort against Fenerbahce, but you always had the impression that Fener is playing as good as necessary. So, I'm not sure what to think about Sturm these days.


For me, there are 3 really important factors:


1) Austria didn't score a goal in the last two games and really is in hurry to get in form until the derby against Rapid next week. Furthermore they desperately need a win before travelling to Limassol on Thursday. If the Europa League season ends this week in Limassol they will get in big troubles. So, Austria really needs the win.


2) Sturm has the way more difficult game during the week. Fener is their "once in a lifetime" chance and definitely the stronger team than Limassol. Therefore they will be focused on Fener and it could be that coach Franco Foda will give some players a rest because he knows the season is long and Sturm needs the money they could get in the Europa League.


3) Austria is always playing well against Sturm at home. They've won the last four home games vs. Sturm and although they struggled the last weeks Austria has a very good team and it's just a question of time until they click.


Involving all factors I'm leaning towards an Austria win.

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Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Austria Vienna Bet365 2.00 8 2-3 LOST (-8 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
+22 -5
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