Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv by Vilcox
Tip based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Ludogorets started their season about 2 weeks ago as they have already played 4 matches. Their first official game of the season went not that good as they lost against Zalgris 2-1. Despite losing playing very bad that game, they were able to comeback in the 2nd leg and to win 4-1 in front of their fans "knocking out" the lithuanian team. After that incredible comeback, they had an early big game in Parva Liga as they met away from home the 2nd best team in Bulgaria, Cska Sofia. They won that game 0-1 but they were lucky as CSKA Sofia played more than 30 minutes in 10 mens. 3 days ago, they had maybe the most difficult game of their season as they met Hapoel Beer Sheva on the road. It's very hard to play against these teams coming from Israel especially on the road and that match was not an excepcion. In fact, Ludogorets lost 2-0 so that's means that they will try to force another big comeback on Wednesday playing at home. It's clear that Ludogorets will focus on that Uefa Champions League's game. Champions League is one of the biggest targets of the season for the bulgarian team and most of their players will rest or will not start this game. They are obviously favourite to win this match but it's clear that they will try to "save" energy and, as I said before, most of their big players will not play this match. Also, they showed some defensive problems at the start of this season as they have conceded in 3 of their 4 matches played keeping a clean sheet only against Cska Sofia (but I have to repeat that the red card affected that game). I think that, if they will win this match, they will not do that by big margin of difference.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv started good this season. They have played 2 matches until now and they collected a win over Etar 1-2 playing on the road and a draw 0-0 against Levski at home playing more than 23' minutes in 10 mens. I think that they are a good team...they finished 5th last season only -3 from the 4th place (last place for Europa League) and they showed some good resistance when playing away from home against Ludogorets. In fact, they won last match on the road against the champions of Bulgaria 1-2 and before that win, they lost only 1-0 in the previous match away from home against them. Since 2011, Ludogorets won only 1 time (playing at home against Lok.Plovdiv) with more than 2 goals of difference (11 matches played) and that show that Lok. Plovdiv know how to give problems to Ludogorets when playing away from home. Also, Lokomotiv Plovdiv will be fresh as they have played only 2 official matches this season while Ludogorets are playing almost each 3 days and, considering that we are at the start of the season, that can be a big handicap.
As I said before, most of Ludogorets' big player will rest for this game. They will focus on the Champions League match that they will play on Wednesday and I'm not expecting an easy win for them. Lokomotiv Plovdiv will be fully motivated to take a positive result against the best team in Bulgaria. I choosed asian handicap +2 so this bet will be won in case of Lokomotiv Plovdiv winning, drawing or losing by 1 goal of difference. In case of Ludogorets winning by 2 goals of difference, this bet will be void. This bet will be lost only in case of Ludogorets winning by 3 or more goals of difference. I see nice value.
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|2 AH+2||Marathonbet||1.60||10||0-0 WON (+6 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.