Isner vs Muller by Stanioooo
1st semifinal in the daily schedule in Atlanta between John Isner and Gilles Muller.
These two big servers know each other very well. They have 5 matches and first 3 were won by Isner, while the last 2- by Muller. In fact the three matches Isner has won were a long time ago between 2010 and 2012, all of them in USA, when Isner was part of top 10 or very close to this ranking. Muller's wins were in Australian open 2015 and Queen's 2016. Tie-break/s are unseparable part of their matches, so I expect at least one today.
This is the best year in Gilles Muller's career. He won 2 titles and his grass season was more than excellent. He's very good on hard courts, too and I'm sure he will be Isner's biggest test in this tournament. He won the last two matches between them and has the confidence to produce third win against Isner in a row. But Big Johny's form is also very good- he won the title in Newport last week,although the tournament was on grass. He's playing at home and will be supported much more by the crowd. If the tour wasn't in USA I would go with Muller's win here, but with these stats(3 losses for Muller against Isner in USA on hard courts), I'm not so confident in his win. What I'm sure is that Muller won't give up so easy and 3 sets are almost guaranteed. I can't see one of these players to win in straight sets in such a match which is final before the real final. Harrison or Edmund won't be a problem for any of these players, so the winner here will be the big favourite on Sunday's final.
I was thinking of so many different picks in this match. I'm confident it will be decided in 3 sets which means 39 games max if we see 3 tie-breaks. Odds for over 2.5 sets are 2.15-2.30, which is not low, but I chose to play over 32.5 games here. Odds are great 2.90 in Unibet and it won't be such a problem for them to cover it, if a 3-set match really happens on the court tonight. One set in tie-break and one something like 7:5 will be absolutely enough to cover it.
|over 32.5 games||Unibet||2.90||8||2-0 LOST (-8 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.