P. Phillies vs Milwaukee by Sors
In his last three home contests, Nola yielded 12 hits and 3 runs while walking five and striking out 25 batters over 22 1/3 innings of a 5-1 win against the Cardinals on June 22, against the Pirates on July 3 (4-0) and San Diego Padres five days later (1-2).
In addition to that, Nola limited the Brewers to 2 runs on 7 hits and struck out seven over six innings of a 2-3 loss at Miller Park last Saturday.The right-hander went 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA in three career starts versus Milwaukee.Eric Thames hit two doubles in 3 at-bats off Nola, Hernan Perez is 3-for-6 with a solo home run against him, while Ryan Braun is 2-for-5 with a walk, but Jonathan Villar, Orlando Arcia, Travis Shaw and Domingo Santana are a combined 3-for-20.
Nola, however, has received three or fewer runs of support in half of his previous fourteen starts, which is far from surprising, given the fact that the Phillies own the second-worst offense in the National League (365).The Brewers, on the other hand, were limited to three or fewer runs in each of their last six games, with a .254 batting average, 14 runs and 5 HR during this stretch.
Milwaukee counters with Matt Garza (4-4 with a 3.84 ERA), who will try to help his team to avoid a season-high sixth straight loss.
The veteran right-hander is coming off two straight quality starts, as he limited the Orioles to 5 hits and struck out four through 6 1/3 scoreless innings of a 4-0 home win on July 5, before allowing 3 hits and 1 run over five innings in a 2-5 home loss to the Phillies last Sunday.
Three of his previous five road contests were quality starts and what is also important to be noted: Garza has posted a 2.45 ERA in eight career starts versus Philadelphia.
I expect less than nine runs in the opening game of this series between the Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers.
|under 9.00||Pinnacle||1.82||8||6-1 WON (+6.56 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.