P. Phillies vs Milwaukee by Sors

Aaron Nola (6-6 with a 3.54 ERA) has been a bright spot in the Phillies’ starting rotation, as after some problems in early season (2-3 with a 5.06 ERA over his first six starts), the 24-year-old right-hander has allowed three or fewer runs and lasted at least six innings in seven of his last eight outings.


In his last three home contests, Nola yielded 12 hits and 3 runs while walking five and striking out 25 batters over 22 1/3 innings of a 5-1 win against the Cardinals on June 22, against the Pirates on July 3 (4-0) and San Diego Padres five days later (1-2).


In addition to that, Nola limited the Brewers to 2 runs on 7 hits and struck out seven over six innings of a 2-3 loss at Miller Park last Saturday.The right-hander went 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA in three career starts versus Milwaukee.Eric Thames hit two doubles in 3 at-bats off Nola, Hernan Perez is 3-for-6 with a solo home run against him, while Ryan Braun is 2-for-5 with a walk, but Jonathan Villar, Orlando Arcia, Travis Shaw and Domingo Santana are a combined 3-for-20.


Nola, however, has received three or fewer runs of support in half of his previous fourteen starts, which is far from surprising, given the fact that the Phillies own the second-worst offense in the National League (365).The Brewers, on the other hand, were limited to three or fewer runs in each of their last six games, with a .254 batting average, 14 runs and 5 HR during this stretch.


Milwaukee counters with Matt Garza (4-4 with a 3.84 ERA), who will try to help his team to avoid a season-high sixth straight loss.


The veteran right-hander is coming off two straight quality starts, as he limited the Orioles to 5 hits and struck out four through 6 1/3 scoreless innings of a 4-0 home win on July 5, before allowing 3 hits and 1 run over five innings in a 2-5 home loss to the Phillies last Sunday.


Three of his previous five road contests were quality starts and what is also important to be noted: Garza has posted a 2.45 ERA in eight career starts versus Philadelphia.


I expect less than nine runs in the opening game of this series between the Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers.


Pick Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
under 9.00 Pinnacle 1.82 8 6-1 WON (+6.56 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
+3 0
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