Benfica vs Guimaraes by Jiaho9

Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
The last game of the season in Portugal is the cup final, in Jamor stadium, between SL Benfica and Vitória SC (Vitória de Guimaraes).

 

Benfica is the league champion, and they are the best team in the country. They won the last 4 titles in a row, but the last 10 years they only won the cup 1 time. This is a very speciall match. Is one of the few games in th season were Benfica don't playis at home, because nealry 50% of the fans will be from Vitória de Guimaraes, and this is a very relevat fact. Another relevant fact is that this is a stadium only used once a year, and the grass is not always in perfect conditions.

 

Benfica is with their full roster available for this game, and they are the favourites, but it will for sure be a very hard game for the team.

 

Probable Lineup: Ederson; Semedo; Luisao, Lindelof and Grimaldo; Fejsa, Pizzi, Salvio and Cervi; Jonas and Raul Jimenez.

 

In the other side Vitoria de Guimaraes is searching for history! 4 years ago, Rui Vitória (current Benfica's coach) won their first cup title, and now they are searching for the second trophy in 5 years. Their fans are nuts, and there will be 220 buses only with fans to support Vitória.

 

Less carefull analisys will say that Guimaraes lost 5-0 in their last game against Benfica, but that match had very specific conditions. That was the decisive game for benfica to win their 4th title in a row. Also, Pedro Martins (guimaraes coach) tryied a different and more risky approach in that game, and for sure they will not play like that.

 

I believe that they start this game as the underdogs, but in my opinion they got like 40% chances to lift the trophy.

 

Probable Lineup: Douglas; Gaspar, Henrique, Josue and Konan; Martins, Zungu and Hurtado; Hernani, Marega and Teixeira

 

Seeing the registry of the last 15 finals of the Portuguese cup:

 

Porto 2-3 Braga (After Penalty shootout)

 

Sporting 3-2 Braga (After Penalty Shootout)

 

Benfica 1-0 Rio Ave

 

Benfica 1-2 Guimaraes

 

Sporting 0-1 Académica

 

Guimaraes 2-6 Porto

 

Chaves 1-2 Porto

 

Paços de Ferreira 0-1 Porto

 

Porto 0-2 Spoting (After Overtime)

 

Sporting 1-0 Belenenses

 

Porto 1-0 Setubal

 

Porto 1-2 Benfica (After Overtime)

 

Porto 1-0 Leiria

 

Sporting 1-0 Leixoes

 

Porto 2-0 Maritimo

 

As we can see, in the last 15 yeasr, only 2 games were solved in regular time by 2 ore more goals margin. This is a game were both teams will have many defensive cautions, and I beleve that the best option is this asian handicap in Guimaraes side. Another good option is Under 2.5, because 10 of the last 15 games ended with 2 or less goals in the regular time.

 

Good Luck and enjoy the most beautiful game of Portuguese football!

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Guimaraes +1.5 AH Marathonbet 1.82 8 2-1 WON (+6.56 units)
+10 -33
Comments (3)
alex
in fact Benfica never beat Guimaraes in TP last 20 years:

26.05.13 TP Benfica Guimaraes 1 : 2


22.11.09 TP Benfica Guimaraes 0 : 1


15.03.06 TP Benfica Guimaraes 0 : 1

05/28/2017 - 07:16
MarieFR
Btts
05/28/2017 - 12:37
Marco
@Alex
you cannot compare Benfica 2006; 2009 and 2013 of the Benfica today! A great fact is that the Guimarães this season shows a football offensive and quality but the "weapons" are not enough to defeat the Benfica this season, especially because the midfield of Guimarães is too weak compared to the Benfica! The great possibility of Guimarães achieve something today will strengthen your midfield!
IMO its gone a be 1-0 or 2-1 for Benfica i upvoted this pick
05/28/2017 - 18:48
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