Crvena zvezda vs Cedevita by FairPlayBet
This is playoffs finals of the Adriatic League (ABA), the first game in series best of 5.
As expected, two best teams will play for the trophy and for Euroleague Visa for the next season. Crvena zvezda in semis was better from Buducnost 2-1 while Cedevita with same 2-1 score eliminated Partizan.
Crvena zvezda has home court advantage in this finals and they are favorite to win the series but also favorite in this Game 1. Cedevita is heavily weakened at the start of this final series. Their best player, American Ryan Boatright has suffered injury in third decisive game against Partizan and wont be available, at least not now in Game 1 and Game 2 while we will see whether he will be able to play when series move to Zagreb. In the same game against Partizan also Marko Arapovic suffered injury. His injury is much more serious and he wont play for next six months. So, he definitely wont take any part in this finals. Also it is worth of mention that head coach Mrsic is suspended and wont be on the bench in Game 1 and Game 2. Today Cedevita will be led by his assistant - Gianmarco Pozzecco.
Crvena zvezda has their own problems. As already said in earlier picks, they are without its best player in this season - Stefan Jovic. Still, as I noted many times in this season, his absence was much more a problem in Euroleague where Zvezda at the end was eliminated, than it is problem in this much weaker competition.
All in all, both teams have problems but seems guests have much bigger concerns. Also home court factor is important here. I believe the host will win but the problem is too big handicap for this game. I really do not have too big confidence to go with double digits handicap, especially if we know the Game 2 will take place just day after.
How I see scenario in this Game 1, Cedevita probably very close in early stage, probably entire half but Crvena zvezda with more quality roster and with help from the stands, will break them in second half.
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