Darussafaka vs Crvena zvezda by FairPlayBet
This is final round match for both teams. It is crucial match that will directly decide who from these two sides will play in Top 8. Seven Top 8 participants are already known and the winner of this match between Darussafaka and Crvena zvezda will be 8th placed and will meet with Real Madrid in playoffs.
No matter how much I would like to see there Crvena zvezda, I really doubt it will happen. Serbian team simply missed big chance earlier when was defeated at home from Olympiacos. It was the game in which Olympiacos has played funny second half, half in which Zvezda went from -13 to +8 but simply failed to keep it. Now Serbian team need to win in Istanbul and IMO it will be very tough task from a number of reasons.
Firstly, Crvena zvezda is not in too good form. Yes, they beat Unics easily in previous round at home, they also went to the finals of ABA after convincing victory in deciding third game vs Buducnost. But those are not the rosters we can compared with roster Darussafaka has, plus Zvezda will be on the road now.
Against Buducnost I had winning bet on Crvena zvezda and was writing back then about problems Serbian team has. I mean on absence of very important playmaker - Stefan Jovic and also I mean on fact that center Kuzmic play much weaker when Jovic is not on the court. I noted back then
absence of Jovic is not a big problem in ABA (and it turned out it was not) but it is in Euroleague, at least it is when they need to face one strong team.
Darussafaka definitely is strong team and with probably the best coach in Euroleague. IMO they are even more quality side than their position on the standings show. They simply needed a little bit more time to adopt on David Blat. Now when it is the most important, seems Darussafaka play very well. They have won the last 4 at home. Three of those have been against big teams and in all (Fenerbahce, Panathinaikos, Barcelona) except against Galatasaray, there was point advantage for Darussafaka already at half time. I expect the home team will be leading at Half Time also today.
I know it is risky to go with such HT-FT bets in basketball. Yesterday's Fener - Barsa game confirmed it again. But today I will go again with this option cause maybe the handicap is a little bit too high if we know Darussafaka in games when have nice early lead, knows very often to lose significantly that bog lead late in the game.
I also think Crvena zvezda has pretty poor chances because of the referees. I have all credits for Darussafaka cause they really are one expensive team, but I feel they and Turkish teams in general are in privileged position in this Euroleague with Turkish sponsors. Last round game in Germany was example. In any case, I do not think referees will rob the visiting team but simply it is enough to they impose such criteria that do not suit to Crvena zvezda. IMO exactly this will happen. The refs will call everything. We know how Zvezda play good defense, on the edge of faul. If referees does not allow such game, Crvena zvezda IMO will be without any chance.
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