It's a final round in Euroleague regular season. Here we have match between Fenerbahce and Barselona. The Turkish team entered this season as one of main favorites to with the title. They have the quality, they have one of best if not very best European head coach ever, plus the Final 4 tournament will be in Istanbul. And everything was going smooth for them, Fener was safe for one of the top 4 positions that guarantee home advantage in the play-offs but then they blew it all. Yes, there was injuries factor in some games but also it is fact approach was not 100% in some games. In any case, before this final round for Fenerbahce is almost impossible to get back on position No.4. They need victory here but also they need impossible scenario in some other 2 or 3 games. But this today's final game is still very important for Fenerbahce cause if they obviously wont have home court advantage in playoffs, then at least they need to try avoiding finishing on 7th position (7th placed team will meet with defending champion CSKA). Note even for this new aim, victory today is not enough but they can hope Real Madrid will play honestly and will win tomorrow at home vs Efes.
What is good for Fener is fact Barcelona long ago is out of all these combinations. Spanish team had very poor Euroleague season and lost its Top 8 chances long ago. Lately they have won some games, the last two. But it was at home while on the road they are only 3-11 in the entire season and only 1-10 in last 11 away from home. This only road victory in previous 11 visits was in Milano against probably the worst Euroleague team this season. Furthermore, not just Barsa was losing away from home, but they have been losing quite easily and almost always with deficit already at half time.
So, I believe Fenerbahce will win this final game in regular season more or less without any problems. Though, the handicap is pretty big, we would need double digits victory. But since I expect strong start from home team, option HT-FT probably is not bad choice.
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||30-31 HT LOST (-10 units)|