Kovalik vs Marius Copil by Iniestaone

I think Copil should be the favorite here. He is closing in on a top 100 spot as he is ranked 106th now and he has been very good so far this year. He has faced better opponents than Kovalik does and has produced more wins, as he is 12/9 this season compared to Kovalik's 10/10.

 

Kovalik is more a full scaled clay couter than Copil but I don't see how much that will matter considering current form. Copil is yet to start playing clay tournaments while Kovalik already has Buenos Aires, Rio and Sao Paulo in his resume this season but he is entering this match with 3 straight losses (Delbonis, Trungelliti and Bemelmans). 4 of his 10 wins this year came in the very start of January (1 in December) and his form has been on decline since. He is facing a Copil who plays determined tennis and often will go for winners, and if he brings that vs an unsettled Kovalik I think he will take the match in two sets.

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Pick Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Copil Pinnacle 2.11 8 2-1 LOST (-8 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
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