Federer vs Nadal by Atipico07

Federer
VS
Nadal
My last tennis tip was about 15 days ago. Federer-Nadal in Indian Wells and I had a bet on Rafa to win. Roger Federer won 6-2/6-3 and that was maybe one of the worst tennis tip made by me as Nadal had only one chance in the first game of the first set, than Roger Federer destroyed him. After that game, I said to myself: "This will be my last tip on tennis, let's focus on tennis.". After 15 days, I changed opinion haha. This is an absolutely value bet imo. Rafael Nadal is underdog as he lost last 3 games against Roger Federer but I just can't see him losing again tonight.

 

Roger Federer is coming to this game after suffering a lot in the previous matches: he won against Tiafoe (playing not that good and winning a tiebreak), he won without troubles against Del Potro in straight sets, then he had big troubles against Bautista as he won in 2 tiebreaks (the spanish deserved much more) in 2 hours. After that, he won in 3 sets against Berdych in 2 hours, winning 3rd set tiebreak and saving 2 match points!! Last game was incredible. He won against Kyrgios in 3 sets, 3 tiebreaks (again!!!) and he played more than 3 hours. It's true that he had time to recover but he is still not playing his best tennis atm. If he want to win against Nadal, he needs to play his best tennis and everything need to go in his favour (as happened in the last game in Indian Wells), I doubt that this will happen today.

 

Rafael Nadal, on the other hand, will be totally fit for this game. I was scared when he lost the first set of this tournament against Kohlschreiber 0-6 but then he recovered winning that game in 3. After that, he didn't dropped a single set winning in straight sets against Mahut, Sock and Fognini. Nadal had easy opponents and he will be fully motivated today. This can be his first win here in Miami and he never lost 4 times in a row against Roger Federer. (I said the same thing 15 days ago). Rafael Nadal is playing at his best right now, finally everyone enjoy watching him and I'm expecting the spanish to win this game. Odds are just amazing and full of value.

 

My pick is: Rafael Nadal to win.pin
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Pick Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Nadal to win Marathonbet 2.24 8 2-0 LOST (-8 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
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