Benfica vs Porto by Jiaho9
Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Benfica is the current leader of the league, with 64 points. They are in the front of the tournament since the first rounds, but the team is strugling with many injuries this season. For this game, Raul Jimenez is out, and Eliseu, Fejsa and Grimaldo are all in doubt untill the day of the match. In my opinion, Grimaldo will not play for sure, because he was injured since 2016 and even in perfect conditions, he will not have the rithm to play the most intense game of the season.
Tactically speaking, Benfica will most probably play as they usually do, with probably Samaris and Pizzi in the middle, Cervi and Salvio in the wings, and Jonas and Mitroglu in the front. It's a very offensive team theorically speaking, but in the last big games, even with 2 guys in the front, Benfica usually prefers to play in counter attacks. Rafa is also a valuable option for this game, because he is fast and perfect to play in counter attacks.
Pros to Benfica win: plays at home, with a win they place 1 hand in the title.
Porto, in the other side got 63 points and he is in the oposite moment of Benfica. The team started the season in a terrible form and they were 7 points behind benfica at a point of the season. They are now much better, with Soares being their best player (in my opinion). They are with their full roster available, and this can be one of the last chances for them to steal the lead from their rivals.
Tactically speaking, Porto can have two different aproaches in the match. Their defense will be the same, with Maxi, Marcano, Felipe and Telles. Danilo will also be their defensive midfielder. After this, they can play with 3 strikers, with soares and andre silva in the front, Oliver torres, Brahmi and Corona; or just with 1 striker, and in this case, Andre silva will stay in the bench, and Andre Andre will start, giving more consistency to the midfield. Another aproach is left corona in the bench and andre silva playing in the wing.
Pros to Porto win: Playing better at this moment of the season, This is their last classico this season, while Benfica still needs to play against Sporting, better performance in the first Porto vs Benfica this season.
I believe that Porto got more options in this moment. They got their full team available, and I believe that they are playing better. They will play as away, but sincee 2010, Porto only lost 1 time in Benfica's home.
Based on this I believe that this asian handicap on Porto side is a valuable bet in my opinion.
|Porto +0 AH||BetVictor||2.19||6||1-1 PUSH (Stake return)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.