Atletico are focused on cup competitions mostly this season, they have no chances for La Liga title as the distance to Real Madrid is already 10 points. Los Rojiblancos have performed well so far in UEFA Champions League and they've also reached the semi-finals of Copa del Rey, where they're up against Barcelona. Hosts are highly motivated, players received a warm welcome from their fans by the hotel in which they spent last night before the game. High attendance is expected, there might be full house at Vicente Calderon for the sixth time this season. Gimenez is the newest absentee, apart from him there are a few players sidelined with long-term injuries such as Oblak or Augusto but generally hosts have fine situation with the squad. Barcelona have problems because two of their important midfielders, Busquets and Iniesta, are injured. The Catalan outfit usually underperform without these two, especially in away games as they did recently against Betis. Digne is out as well, Rafinha returns to match squad. Given all the circumstances, I think that hosts are favourites.
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* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.