In my preview for Verdasco - Djokovic, I wrote that I believed Verdasco would stay close to him, but I wrote that because I believed in Verdasco, not because I didn't believe in Djokovic. The match was far closer than I imagined and Verdasco actually had 5 match points in the tiebreak in second set. A more stable player would have converted at least one of them, and Murray is currently showing that he has all the right tools to take this match in two sets. He tore Nole apart in the world tour finals winning 6-3 6-4 and that was when he was expected to be shaky and unsettled due to becoming nr 1. It seems to me he has adapted to the role now and I firmly believe he has the mental strength advantage over Djokovic at this point.
Nole actually won this tournament last year and defending those points is crucial to him, but he is far from the player he was at the beginning of 2016 and it was evident during the last tournaments of the year that the pressure of losing the nr 1 spot was getting to him. I think it might do so here as well. Murray is playing his best tennis ever right now and I believe it won't take long until Djokovic runs out of ideas to break the wall that Murray is when he plays at his highest level.
||1-2 LOST (-8 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.