Kongsvinger vs Lorenskog by Sors
The hosts finished on the last spot in each of the previous two campaigns, but it’s definitely the most difficult season for Kongsvinger after the return of this team in the Norwegian hockey league in 2014, as the hosts have recorded just one win in the previous 29 rounds and lost sixteen of the other twenty-eight games with four or more goals difference (1-0-26-2 36-167).
Kongsvinger’ defense has been extremely weak through the entire season so far, which is actually the main reason for these poor results: the hosts conceded six or more goals seventeen times in the previous twenty-nine rounds and at least five goals in every of the last five games against Stjernen (5-7/home), Stavanger (0-10/away), Storhamar (0-6/away) and Frisk Asker on Dec. 28 (0-7/home) and Dec. 30 (3-5/away).
After some problems in early season (1-2-1-5 22/27 from the first nine rounds), the guests won seventeen of their last twenty games, thanks to which this team climbed on second position in the Norwegian hockey league, with a seven-point advantage over Valerenga (3rd place) and ten points more than Lillehammer (4th place).
In the matter of fact, more important for my bet is that Lorenskog owns second-best offense in the league, as the guests have scored a total of 99 goals in the previous twenty-nine rounds (3.41 per game ) and three or more goals in ten of their fourteen away games this season.
Lorenskog scored six goals in every of the previous three games between these two teams this season and I expect at least the same efficiency in offense from the guests, while at the same time, I think that the hosts will score at least once tonight, given the fact that their opponents are not doing so well in defense lately, as Lorenskog conceded a total of fifteen goals in its last six games against Sarpsborg (2-5/away), Manglerud (7-1/home), Lillehammer (3-4 SO/away), Stjernen (3-1/home) and Valerenga on Dec. 28 (4-3/away) and Dec. 30 (2-1/home).
I expect more than six goals in that game between the teams of Kongsvinger and Lorenskog.
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|over 6.50||Bet365||1.78||8||Won WON (+6.24 units)|