Bournemouth vs Arsenal by Cebela



On Tue, 3 Jan 2017 at 12:53, Aleksandra Krivic wrote:


English Premier league teams have a very busy schedule during the Christmas season, playing three games in a very short period of time. Some teams are having it even harder than others. Arsenal had 24 hours less rest than Bournemouth with only a day between their last match and today's. Wenger announced that due to the fatigue he will be forced to make some changes. The Frenchman has some quality players that can adequately replace those who played against Crystal Palace on Sunday. Giroud, who scored an amazing goal last time out, could be replaced by Alexis Sanchez and Iwobi could lose his place to Ozil who has recovered from illness. This type of changes shouldn’t have a negative effect on Gunners, quite the opposite, fresh legs could do even more harm to the hosts.


Bournemouth comfortably won their New Year's Eve match against Swansea with 3 goals to 0. They are confident, far away from the relegation zone and it seems like they will end the season without a stressful ending, somewhere in the middle. Arsenal on the other hand, needs to win. They can't afford mistakes if they want to keep up with Chelsea and to stay in the Champions League position. Arsenal lost their 2 away matches 2 : 1 and they can't afford to lose points again. When Bournemouth played over 2,5 goals on matches in 72% percent of those matches they also had over 3,5 goals, while Arsenal had 66% of those kinds of matches going over 3,5 goals.


The first match between these two teams ended with Arsenal 3 : 1 win but the result could be higher on both ends. I expect both teams will be active in the attack, however at the end Arsenal will bring 3 points home. As always, football is a sport of surprises but it would be a big surprise to me if the end result would be high scoring game.


I suggest all possibilities including goal, depends on what kind of odds you are looking for. Over 3,5 goals is offered at 2.62, BTTS and over 2,5 goals is 2.05 and the one that I favour is Arsenal winning and over 3,5 goals.


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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Over 3,5 goals Bet365 2.62 10 3-3 WON (+16.2 units)
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