Bristol Rovers vs AFC Wimbledon by Sors
Bristol Rovers sits in the middle of the standings in the League One, but closer to the teams at top 6 than to those in the relegation zone.
The hosts have been pretty inconsistent during the entire first half of the season and the main reason for that lack of constancy is definitely in defense, as Bristol Rovers conceded a total of 40 goals in the previous twenty-three rounds (only Bury and Chesterfield have worse defenses) and two or more goals in five of their last six games against Charlton (1-5/home), Chesterfield (2-3/away), Barrow (1-2/home – FA Cup), Bury (4-2/home), Shrewsbury (0-2/away) and Coventry (4-1/home).
At the same time, these defensive problems are largely offset by powerful attack in Charlie Colkett (m / 3 goals), Jermaine Easter (f / 2 goals), Ellis Harrison (f / 3 goals), Billy Bodin (f / 4 goals), Matty Taylor (f / 13 goals), etc., thanks to whose efforts the hosts scored a total of 37 goals in the previous twenty-three rounds, eight of them in the last two games at Memorial Stadium against Bury (4-2) and Coventry (4-1).
Darrell Clarke has almost a full squad to choose from, with the exception of Jake Clarke-Salter (d / 7+1), who will miss sixth consecutive match with a hamstring injury.
Wimbledon comes from a 0-3 loss in the visit to Southend on Monday, second for this team in three games in the league in December (1-0-2 4/4).
However, more important for my bet is that like their opponents, the guests have obvious problems in defense lately, as Wimbledon conceded a total of eleven goals in five games over the last five weeks, seven of them in three away games against Curzon (4-3/FA Cup), Milton Keynes Dons (0-1) and Southend (0-3).
Lyle Taylor (f / 22+5) was sent off against Southend and will miss the visit at Memorial Stadium, but even without him Wimbledon is a team with a considerable potential in attack in Andy Barcham (m / 3 goals), Tyrone Barnett (f / 2 goals), Dominic Poleon (f / 6 goals), Tom Elliott (f / 7 goals), etc. and I doubt that the guests will fail to score in this match.Will Nightingale (d / 3+0) and Chris Whelpdale (m / 15+1) are also unavailable due to injuries.
Considering the style of play of these two teams, I expect a lot of goals in this match.
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|over 3.50||Unibet||3.00||7||2-0 LOST (-7 units)|