Salernitana vs Perugia by Cebela
This is a tricky one. I will start with why this game is one of the best to bet on today. Both, Salernitana and Perugia have every reason to play and go for the win. Perugia is in 7th place only one point above 9th and they definitely don't want to lose their playoff spot. Salernitana is in totally different situation, fighting for their place in Serie B for the next season. They are currently in 17th place, right above the relegation playoff spot and only a point ahead of 21st Avellimo therefore they need to win. Perugia is the 4th best away team with goal difference 15:12. Salernitana's last 8 matches ended with both teams scoring and they scored on 8 out of 9 matches when playing at home while Perugia failed to score 1 out of 10 matches on the road. Everything looks good for another BTTS bet if only Perugia wouldn't come to Salerno with half of the team missing. What especilly bothers me is that two best scorers Di Carmine and Nicastro who scored 12 out of 25 of Perugia's goals this sesaon won’t be playing today. Perugia is missing 10 players and their coach is having a hard time putting together his first eleven. The good thing is that Salernitana has problems in the back, their unreliable defence is missing first two central defenders Manotovani (suspended) and Tuia (injured).
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My epilogue of the given facts is that no matter who will play for respected teams, both will concede. Points are needed on both sides and especially Salernitana is very weak in the defence, even without the absence problems. Perugia has the quality to score more than two goals and I'm counting on them to do that and bring home a nice over 2,5 goals.
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|BTTS and over 2,5||Bet365||2.62||10||2-1 WON (+16.2 units)|