Harlequins vs Gloucester by Sebmc
The Harlequins are seventh place in Aviva Premiership with 23 points. The Quins are already 11 points behind the fourth and last qualifier for the playoffs, Exeter.
At home, the Harlequins were imperial this season with five wins in five games. However, today, they will not play in Twickenham Stoop but in Twickenham! In Twickenham, the record of the Quins is very average with 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats.
The Quins took advantage of the truce "Cup of Europe" to settle at the head of their challenge Cup group. They smashed the very weak Romanians of Timisoara (3-42, 75-3).
For this meeting, the Quins are deprived of the locks Sam Twomey, James Horwill and the opener Nick Evans. The international flanker Chris Robshaw declared forfeited this morning.
Gloucester has the same number of points as the Harlequins but is ahead of the points average. The Cherry & White are rather comfortable away. They took at least one point in each of their away games.
Gloucester won at Sale (13-26), tied Worcester (23-23) and Exeter (27-27) and took the defensive bonus point at Northampton (23-20) and the Saracens field (24-23).
In the Challenge Cup, Gloucester lost its first place by bowing heavily last week on La Rochelle's lawn (42-13).
For this meeting, they have some absentees. John Afoa, Darren Dawidiuk, Sione Kalamafoni, Mark Atkinson, Ollie Thorley, Henry Trinder are injured.
Harlequins: 15 Mike Brown, 14 Marland Yarde, 13 Joe Marchant, 12 Jamie Roberts, 11 Tim Visser, 10 Ruaridh Jackson, 9 Danny Care ©, 8 Jack Clifford, 7 Chris Robshaw, 6 James Chisholm, 5 Charlie Matthews, 4 George Merrick, 3 Kyle Sinckler, 2 Rob Buchanan, 1 Joe Marler
Replacements: 16 Dave Ward, 17 Owen Evans, 18 Will Collier, 19 Stan South, 20 Luke Wallace, 21 Karl Dickson, 22 Tim Swiel, 23 Alofa Alofa
Gloucester: 15 James Hook, 14 Charlie Sharples, 13 Matt Scott, 12 Billy Twelvetrees, 11 Jonny May, 10 Billy Burns, 9 Greig Laidlaw ©, 8 Ben Morgan, 7 Jacob Rowan, 6 Ross Moriarty, 5 Mariano Galarza, 4 Tom Savage, 3 Josh Hohneck, 2 Richard Hibbard, 1 Paddy McAllister
Replacements: 16 Motu Matu’u, 17 Yann Thomas, 18 Salesi Ma’afu, 19 Jeremy Thrush, 20 Matt Kvesic, 21 Willi Heinz, 22 Andrew Symons, 23 Henry Purdy
Both teams are equal. The Quins have a much better front row than Gloucester but the back line of the Cherry & White is better than the Harlequins. On the bench, it's 50/50. In the last ten meetings, only Harlequins have won only once by more than 7 points. I expect a very tight game. I would have seen a handicap of 2/3.
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|Gloucester +7||Betway||2.00||8||28-24 WON (+8 units)|