Nantes vs Montpellier by Sors
Nantes: Riou – Dubois, Vizcarrondo, Diego Carlos, Lucas Lima – Iloki, Gillet, Toure, Harit – Stepinski, Sala
Montpellier: Pionnier – Deplagne, Saint-Ruf, Hilton, Congre – Camara, Sanson, Skhiri, Lasne, Sessegnon – Mounie
Nantes took a breath with a 2-0 victory in the visit to Angers last Saturday, second consecutive for this team after 3-1 home win over Montpellier in the fourth round of the League Cup on Dec. 13 and first in the league since mid-October.
It seems that the hosts feel more comfortable away from home (3-1-5 8/13) than when playing at Stade de la Beaujoire (1-3-4 3/13), although Nantes lost just twice in seven home games since the beginning of October and what is even more important for my bet: this team failed to score in only two of those seven encounters.
At the same time, this team managed to keep clean sheet just twice in last ten rounds and in only three of its previous ten games at Stade de la Beaujoire this season.Sergio Conceicao has a full squad to choose from.
Montpellier sits in the middle of the standings (11th position), but closer to the teams in the relegation zone than to those in Top 4.The guests have obvious problems in defense (especially when playing away from home), as Montpellier conceded a total of 30 goals in the previous eighteen rounds (only Metz and Lorient have worse defenses) and at least one goal in each of its previous nine away games in the league.
Geoffrey Jourdren (g / 10+0), Jerome Roussillon (d / 15+0), Anthony Vanden Borre (d / 10+0) and Casimir Ninga (f / 9+5) are out due to injuries, but while Frederic Hantz has enough options in attack in Killian Sanson (m / 3 goals), Ryad Boudebouz (m / 7 goals), Casimir Ninga (f / 4 goals), Steve Mounie (f / 6 goals), etc., the absence of Roussillon and Anthony Vanden Borre could lead to certain problems in defense.
I doubt that any of these two teams will manage to keep clean sheet tonight.
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|btts||Bet365||1.95||8||1-0 LOST (-8 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.