Eintracht Frankfurt vs Mainz by Rahul

Eintracht-Frankfurt
VS
Mainz
Frankfurt have been in a good nick of form coming into this game against Mainz going completely unbeaten at home winning 4 and drawing 3 of their 7 games played. They have been a real surprise this season and now sit in 6th spot in the table, hoping to push on for better things. They have only lost 3 games all season against Wolfsburg (this weekend), Freiburg and Darmstadt all by a score of 1-0. Frankfurt have been good beating Dortmund 2-1, Leverkusen 2-1, drawing 2-2 with Bayern among their big highlights this season and should not be one to be ignored for a European spot this campaign. Frankfurt have relied on an assortment of players for their goal contribution including Meier (4), Fabian (3), Seferovic (2) and Huszti (2). In fact Frankfurt are 7th worst scoring side in the division as performances from their big guns haven't delivered. But when they are at home, they have managed to score in 6 out of their 7 home games. Frankfurt have been conceding goals as well, 4 times in their last 5 games and the inconsistency among the players plus no reserve defenders to call upon due to injuries showcasing the fatigue on these players.

 

Mainz have been playing well at home, but have been struggling badly on the road, with their road form as bad as relegation threatened sides. They have lost 5 out of 8 played on the road, but on a positive note, they have managed to find the back of the net in 5 of those games. Their offensive weapon is the Turkish midfielder Yunus Malli who has netted 6 times so far and also create 6 assists for this team mates. The forward spark of Mainz including Blasis (4), Cordoba (3), Muto (2) have been doing well to support the team scoring. Defensively however, its been a disaster as Mainz have conceded 13 times in their 15 games in the Bundesliga this season, while also conceding a further 5 times in 7 Europa League/DFB Pokal matches.

 

Both teams are seperate by 6 points; and both will be looking for a victory to keep up pace with their rivals and go to the break on a positive note; I just feel that they will both find the back of the net, given how tired the teams are and their tendency to leak goals.

 

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Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Both Teams to Score Bet365 1.91 7 3-0 LOST (-7 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
0 0
Comments (2)
gorgasall
lets look at Eintrachts home game statistics.

Eintracht vs Schalke 1-0 (4-3 shots on target)
Eintracht vs Bayer 2-1 (8-3)
Eintracht vs Hertha 3-3 (4-4)
Eintracht vs Bayern 2-2 (4-5)
Eintracht vs Koln 1-0 (1-1)
Eintracht vs Dortmund 2-1 (4-5)
Eintracht vs Hoffenheim 0-0 (3-0)

Result : Eintracht vs Guest 11-7 (28-21)

now , Mainz away statistics.

Dortmund vs Mainz 2-1 (8-4)
Augsburg vs Mainz 1-3 (5-6)
Werder vs Mainz 1-2 (6-7)
Wolfsburg vs Mainz 0-0 (3-2)
Schalke vs Mainz 3-0 (5-4)
Leipzig vs Mainz 3-1 (5-3)
Hertha vs Mainz 2-1 (5-4)
Gladbach vs Mainz 1-0 (3-4)

Result : Visitors vs Mainz 13-8 (41-33)

now lets do some math.
Eintracht needs 2.5 shots to score (28/11) and visitor needs 3 shots (21/7)
Mainz needs 4.1 shots to score (33/8) and guest needs 3.1 shots (41/13)

Eintracht has 4-3 shots for and against per game average (28/7 vs 21/7)
Mainz has 4.7-5.9 shots for and against (33/7 vs 41/7)

final mathematical answer :
eintracht will score 8/5 = 1.6 goals
mainz will score 41/47 = 0.87 goals
so final result will be 1-0 1-1 2-1 or 2-0
that means its 52.5%/52.5% (+2.5% is average bookmakers fixed rate)
but Bet 365 says 1.8 for BTTS and 1.95 for against.
1.8 = 55 %
1.95 = 51 %
wait till game starts and place bet against BTTS if odd will go higher then 2.0 , it will have 100% and more mathematical value :D
12/20/2016 - 20:15
gorgasall
BTW
mainz under 0.5 goal yes = 2.6 = 38% and over 0.5 = 1.45 = 69%

mainz under 1 goal yes = 1.8 = 55% and over 1 = 1.9 = 53%

mainz under 1.5 goal yes = 1.4 = 71% and over 1.5 = 3 = 33%

mathematicaly its better if you place bet on mainz to score at least 1 goal for 1.45 or under 1.5 goals for 1.4 , depends which you believe BTTS or NOT.
12/20/2016 - 20:39
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