Everton vs Liverpool by PatrickBateman
Everton are currently on 9th place with 23 points. Last time out they beat Arsenal at Goodisson 2:1, breaking a run of five games without a win, as well as Arsenal`s unbeaten run which went on since Week 1. It was a tough match, with both Everton`s goals coming from a cross, after Alexis scored lucky goal for the visitors. That win should bring them back their self confidence, since they have only two wins in the last twelve competitive games. Even though that fact is very concerning for them, they are unbeaten in the league at home since March, scoring in all games in process. They will be missing Besic and Bolasie who are injured, as well as Jagielka who got sent off against Arsenal.
Liverpool are 3rd with 34 points, two less than Manchester City and nine than leading Chelsea. They could, however, claim second place with a victory here. After losing against Bournemouth in a crazy game two weeks ago, and drawing against West Ham at home, they got back on track with a win against Middlesbrough 3:0. It was a convincing win in which they also manage to keep a clean sheet. Since Karius made a number of mistakes in the last weeks, he was dropped by Klopp, and Mignolet took his place between the posts. He looked good against Middlesbrough, even though he didn`t have much work to do. He will probably start tonight also. Coutinho, Sturridge, Grujic and Ings are ruled out for toinght`s game, while Can is still questionable due to pain in knee. Matip is also feeling pain in the ankle, and he will likely not play.
Merseyside derbies are passionate ones, as every derby in England for that matter. The other thing is they are really hard to predict. Everton last time won in 2010, while Liverpool was the last team to claim an away victory in 2011. Results have also varied, from 0:0, to 3:3 and 4:0. That means that this derby has always been kind of reflection of the current state of teams, unlike a lot of other derbies which are most of the times world for themselves. All that being said, this should be an open game with Liverpool being closer to victory in my eyes. Everton have scored in every home game this season, and while they don`t concede that much, they do inevitably against top teams in the league. Therefore I can`t see them keeping a clean sheet against the best attack in the league which scored 40 goals this season, 19 of which on the road. Also, with Everton being motivated to build on their win against Arsenal and playing in front od their fans in their biggest derby, I see them scoring at least one against shaky Liverpool`s defense. This game could go either way, but I think there is a strong chance we will see number of goals, and them coming from both ends. Everton will go for a win, and Klopp doesn`t know any better than attack, and therefore it seems logical to back over 2.5 goals. If you follow my previews you know that I always go with both teams to score and over, but as that selection comes at the odds of 1.95 today, and over 2.5 goals alone is going at 1.80, there is no value in adding that selection to the pick in my eyes.
|Over 2.5 goals||Marathonbet||1.80||8||0-1 LOST (-8 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.