Deportivo vs Osasuna by PatrickBateman
Tip based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Deportivo are 16th with 13 points. 10 of those points came at home, where they recorded all of their wins. In the last nine competitive matches they have only one win, but what a win that was. They beat Sociedad 5:1 in front of their own fans, in a game in which they totally dominated one of better teams in the league this season. In the last game at Bernabeu, they were 2:1 up until 84th minute, but the hosts showed us once more why they are still unbeaten this season, and magnificently came back to win it 3:2. In the last four home matches they have two wins, one draw against Valencia and unlucky loss against Sevilla in the game in which they were 2:1 up until 87th minute, only to lose it in stoppage time 3:2.
Osasuna are last on the table with seven points, two less than Granada and six less than their today`s hosts. They have only one victory this season, a very lucky one at Eibar in terrible conditions. They are on a seven-game run without a win, scoring only three goals in process. They look really bad and probably will go down to Segunda at the end of the season. They have terrible goal difference 13:32, even though majority of their goals came away from home. Also, out of their 7 points, 5 came on the road. In addition to all their problems, they will be without a number of players, including Digard, Fernandez, Garcia, Oier and Flano brothers.
I was having a lot of second thoughts about this game, but I just have to make this pick. Osasuna should eventually win the game, but I can`t see that happening here. In Spain in general it`s really hard to pull of an away win when you are a bottom-placed team playing against another bottom-placed team. Deportivo have a lot more going on than Osasuna, and will be encouraged by their convincing home win against Sociedad and good game at Bernabeu. Therefore I can`t see past them winning here, but as the odds of 1.50 are not high enough for me, I will go with -1 Asian Handicap, as I believe they can beat hopeless Osasuna by more than one goal difference.
|Deportivo -1 AH||Bet365||1.88||8||2-0 WON (+7.04 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.