Broncos vs Patriots by PatrickBateman
I could go on and on about both teams, as I usually do when writing previews, but as I am picking touchdown scorer, I will focus on more important facts.
Patriots are coming into this game without injured Gronkowski and Amendola. And when you are facing No.1 pass defense, those are not good news. Sure, Patriots are not just two of them, but there are some other stats that don`t go to their advantage. Brady has negative record against Broncos, and Patriots lost both games in Denver last season. Sure, it was diferent Denver then, but something still left from that team.
In the AFC Final game last season which Broncos won 20:18, Patriots were missing running game, more precisely LeGarrette Blount. He will be available tonight and he will go against 29th ranked run defense. And that is the key for this pick. Broncos are allowing 127 rushing yards per game, with 4.2 yards per carry. Blount went only three games this season without scoring touchdown, and considering Patriots` injuries at the receiving end, but also Denver`s stellar pass defense, it`s logical to think that Blount will be New England`s main force.
Blount to score a touchdown usually goes at the odds from 1.65 to 1.80, and most bookies offer those odds for this game also. However, Bet365 offers that selection at the odds of 1.90, and I will go with that. I was even thinking of going with him scoring the first touchdown, since Patriots will try to set up their running game early, but those kind of bets are always too risky. I think that the odds of Blount scoring a touchdown anytime are great considering tonight`s matchup, and I have to take them.
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|LeGarrette Blount Anytime Touchdown Scorer||Bet365||1.90||7||Scored WON (+6.3 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.