Real Madrid vs Zalgiris by QuidProQuo

Real Madrid is hosting Zalgiris in late Thursday game in 11th round of Euroleague. They are 12.5 points favorites, while total sits at 169.5 points. I believe this handicap is way high for several reasons...


Zalgiris is great physical team that overperformes vs. good teams. They are super hot last few weeks with above average shooting percentages. They are also on a three game win streak, having won games vs. Bamberg, Lietuvos Rytas and Crvena Zvezda. They are healthy and full of confidence which shows best in their game in Moscow where they absolutely give CSKA decent sweat for straight up win.


Real Madrid is slightly below CSKA in quality and they are not so convincing in their home matches vs. weaker teams at home, like they were in previous years. They are only 2-3 ATS in home games in Euroleague and their most important player, Sergio Lull, is questionable for tonight after having problems with knee and missing practices for a week.


They are not used to play without Lull (who is going to be limited, even if he plays) and I fully believe they would be satisfied with any victory, without pushing 100%. Schedule in Euroleague is just brutal this season and that is the main reason we dont see as many convincing wins as previous years. I can see Real winning this game 5-8 points with Zalgiris keeping it closer than 12.5 points handicap. Good luck!

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Pick Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Zalgiris +12.5 Pinnacle 1.92 8 96-91 WON (+7.36 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
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