Spartak Moscow vs Neftekhimik by Sors
The hosts sit on 10th position in the Western Conference, with only theoretical chances to play the playoffs, as the gap between Spartak Moscow and the eighth team in the West (Sochi) is eleven points.
Spartak’ defense is on a relatively good level, but the hosts have been struggling in offense in most of the season so far, which is actually the main reason for their current position in the Western Conference.
However, the hosts have scored three or more goals in half of their last eight games (3-0-1-4 16/21) and I think that they might show good efficiency in offense in that game, considering the style of play of their opponents.
Nizhnekamsk comes from a 2-4 loss in Nizhny Novgorod on Tuesday, but it doesn’t change the fact that the guests are among the best-performing teams in the league over the last three weeks, having recorded seven wins in their last nine games (6-1-0-2 40/25).In the matter of fact, more important for my bet is that the guests have been truly impressive in offense in this period, as Nizhnekamsk scored three or more goals in eight of those nine encounters and in four of its last five away games in Togliatti (5-2), Novokuznetsk (5-4), Omsk (3-1), Novosibirsk (6-2) and Nizhny Novgorod (2-4).
On the other hand, the guests conceded more goals compared to any other team that is currently at Top 8 in the Eastern Conference (103 goals in thirty-eight rounds) and three or more goals in twelve of their twenty-one away games this season (6-1-0-9 37/42).
Anatoli Nikontsev (rw / 3+5) will miss second consecutive game for Spartak Moscow, while Nizhnekamsk continues without Geoff Kinrade (d / 3+7), Evgeny Ryasensky (d / 0+8) and Igor Bortnikov (lw / 0+6).
I expect more than four goals in that game, as in six of the previous seven games between these two teams at Luzhniki Small Sports Arena.
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|over 4.50||Pinnacle||1.83||8||3-1 LOST (-8 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.