Crvena zvezda vs Zalgiris by FairPlayBet

Tip based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Crvena-zvezda
VS
Zalgiris
It's already 10th round in the Euroleague and we have here meeting in the Serbian capital between Crvena zvezda mts and Lithuanian team, Zalgiris Kaunas. I see in this game nice edge on the side of the home team.

 

Crvena zvezda has entered into this season with at first look much weaker team compared with roster they have had season ago. Namely, two best players from last season's roster, Maik Zirbes and Quincy Miller have both left Crvena zvezda and both joined Maccabi Tel Aviv. So, no one expected Crvena zvezda will be some serious factor in the Euroleague this season given on fact the replacements of above mentioned players are not on such level. But in fact, the Serbian team is doing very well, at least this was the case so far. With overall record of 4-5, Crvena Zvezda currently occupies 10th place and only one win behind 8th position that takes to playoffs.

 

What I especially like about the home team is fact that they have been able to win as at home (2-2) as well on the road (2-3). It is interesting that Crvena zvezda in all games so far except vs Baskonia, was the underdog. So, obviously bookmakers are not giving them too much respect. Similar is also in this game and in my opinion we should take advantage of this. Namely, Crvena zvezda is the favorite this time but if you ask me, the home team should be quite bigger favorite than this -4,5 points of handicap. First of all, this time Crvena zvezda will not play in Kombank Arena (Capacity 20,000) but in its original hall, Aleksandar Nikolić hall, former Pionir hall.

 

They train here, furthermore, due to lower capacity fans are closer to the floor, here it is always much better atmosphere and all in all here is the real home court advantage. Beside quality which I feel is on the side of the Serbian team, this home court could be crucial advantage. Have in mind that Zalgiris is winless on the road so far (0-4), though to be honest they also have had tough road schedule so far. Still, Belgrade will also be very tough visit for them.

 

Zalgiris currently is 3-6 overall, but only after small improvement in previous 3 games. In the first 6 rounds this team was only 1-5.

 

What I like about Crvena zvezda is the fact that they have room to rotate their roster a lot in the Adriatic league. The same was in last game there when they have visited Union Olimpija. So, basically this means the host should be pretty well rested this time and I do not think they spent too much energy in Slovenia.

 

The captain of home team, Luka Mitrović is out due to injury but by opinion of many, his contribution in any case was not too important so far.

 

I'm pretty confident about home win and hope they will also cover this short handicap. So, let us try to cash with Crvena zvezda (-4.5) AH. Good luck! pin
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Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Crvena zvezda (-4.5) Pinnacle 1.88 8 79-88 LOST (-8 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
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Comments (4)
Mike
+8 Kaunas
12/01/2016 - 10:22
Lituania
Believe me,Zalgiris will win here.I am from Kaunas and i watch all games,Zalgiris is playing very well wright now!
12/01/2016 - 11:49
Nenad
Nice writeup. Zvezda is great at home and especially playing in the Pionir Sports Hall. Zalgiris is a great home team but is sloppy on the road and will struggle against an on form Zvezda and aggressive home fan support. Zvezda to win by double digits.
12/02/2016 - 06:29
Vytas
Zalgiris are playing nice basketball, but In Pionir Hall i believe it not be enough.. -7,5 CZ win
12/02/2016 - 13:51
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