Schalke vs Werder by PatrickBateman
Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
After terrible start of the season, which saw them losing first five Bundesliga games, Schalke put up a great run of 6 wins and 2 draws in all competitions, including one at Signal Iduna Park. In the last 4 Bundesliga games they have scored 8 goals while conceding only one. They have especially been good at home, beating Monchengladbach 4:0, Mainz 3:0 in Bundesliga and Salzburg 3:1, Krasnodar 2:0 in Europa League. They are without Embolo, Huntelaar and Coke for this match.
Werder is in the same position as they have been for the last couple of seasons - relegation zone. They have only one point less than Schalke, but while Schalke is moving upwards steadily, their position has not changed much since the begining of season. They have two home wins this season, against Wolfsburg and Leverkusen - both 2:1. Away from home however, they`ve managed to collect only 1 point - against Darmstadt. They are scoring regularly - to be more specific, they`ve found a net in every game except in loss against Bayern at the start of season. However, their defense is leaking everywhere, and is the worst one in the league with 24 conceded goals in 9 games. For this match they will be without Pizzaro, Kruse, Sane and Caldirola.
Schalke are clear favourites for this game, being in great home form, and looking solid in all phases of play. I was thinking about going with both teams to score here, considering that Bremen have seen that happening in every game this season except one. However, Schalke`s recent record of 5 clean sheets over the course of 8 games, and goal difference of 12:1 in the last four home games have changed my mind. They should win this game by 2 goal margin or even more (in my mind probably 3:1, or 4:1), but as it could very easily happen for Schalke to shut Werder down, I will go with Asian Handicap -1.0, which carries a great value in my eyes at odds of 2.00.
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|Schalke -1 AH||Bet365||1.98||9||3-1 WON (+8.82 units)|