Skugor vs De Minaur by Iniestaone
I actually think this match will be more interesting than Isner - Cilic. The odds are dropping rapidly on De Minaur and you should probably wait up until 2 hours before match start and then place your bets on Skugor as they could be up at 2.10 by then. I won't be able to post this preview tomorrow so I have to do it now, otherwise I would've waited as well.
So what makes this match so interesting? Its De Minaur, actually. He's pulling a Ruud: the 17 year old Norweigan who came from the ITF circuit and won the Challenger in Sevilla this summer, where he defeated Taro Daniel in the finals. De Minaur lost in the finals in Junior Wimbledon in July, played 3 Futures, played two rounds in the Junior US Open and came to Eckental where he drew De Schepper in the first round. He won 6-3 7-5, but that looks much better than it was. I saw that match and De Schepper was definitely expecting to hit Sunday morning shots and win the match. De Minaur surprised him. He was then the favorite vs 184th ranked Gaio and won in two there as well. That also looks better than it is because Gaio's career record on indoor courts show 29/40. He's a miserable indoors player and that was evident in the odds because he who has played professionally since 2008 was the underdog vs a guy who literally just left the ITF circuit.
In his last round, however, he defeated Jurgen Melzer in three and that was just huge. He lost the first set but came back to win the other two like he has done it a thousand times before, and he did it vs a Melzer who is very good right now.
So here we are at the fourth round where he will face a Skugor that took a surprising 2-0 win vs Gojowczyk in the first round, an expected 2-0 win vs Pichler in the second and a 2-1 win vs Florian Mayer as a big underdog.
De Minaur has never faced a server as good as Skugor. One could argue that De Schepper has a better serve, but that wasn't the De Schepper that played De Minaur in the first. Skugor is 198 cm tall and he is having the serving tournament of his season (well, one of them...) here in Eckental. I think that will prove to be a huge advantage. Also, De Minaur no longer has the luxury of being underestimated which I believe has been a big instrument in his success so far.
The World Tour Finals are soon upon us. Its been a very profitable tournament for me these last few years and for the first time ever I'll be Tweeting livebets every match, every day so make sure to follow me on Twitter @ iniestaonebet for detailed match coverage, bets on breaks, bets on correct set scores, bets on underdogs to hold service in crucial moments and much more. I love the WTF's and its going to be very exciting to have You with me this year.
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|Skugor||Pinnacle||1.83||8||0-2 LOST (-8 units)|