Furth II vs Nurnberg II by Luca Garzeli
16th round in Regionalliga Bayern. Match between former teams Greuther II (11th) and Nurnberg II (6th), in Fürth (grass).
Home team had a decent performance at home, only losing against 2nd seeded Munich 1860 II. Conceded goals in 6 out 7 games at home, but was competitive against some good teams as Bayern II or Garching. However, Furth II had some problems against middle-low teams as Buchbach (16th) or Ingolstadt II (14th). They came from a clear lose against middle team Schweinfurt far from home.
Nurnberg II is performing perfectly as away team, winning 6 out 7 games as a visitor, only losing points vs Augsburg II in first round in middle July. Extremely offensive side avaraging 4.3 goals in their games, scored 4 or more goals in their last 4 games far from home, including 1-4 result against Munich 1860 II, team that won Furth as away team this season.
Nurnberg II won last 4 visits to Furth, 3 of them by more than 1 goal margin. Leveled match that Nurnberg can put in their favour with their offensive style of play. We could see a lot of goals here, having in mind that away team play comfortably as a visitor, the pressure will be with hosts, that will have to deal with an overwhelming h2h. Dominic Baumann had 10 goals this season, and Nurnberg II showed how they could win as away team without his goals (Ingolstadt II or Garching).
Open game here with less value in simple bet on goals (over or bttts), being that market responded properly with this kind of bets. Last 2 h2h finished with Nurnberg winning to nil. I think it's difficult to see that scenario today, so I prefer to bet winner & btts.
|Nurnberg & BTTS||Bet365||4.00||4||0-1 LOST (-4 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.