Fritz vs Bautista-Agut by Iniestaone
The odds for Fritz to win opened at around 3.50 and were lowered on most bookies to around 3.20. Nothing really specatular there but the line is low and it pays very well.
Bautista-Agut isn't in his best period right now, he got past Tomic in the first round as he had to retire, before that he took losses to Edmund and Wawrinka but even his wins haven't been very convincing: needed 3 sets vs Berankis and Sousa in St. Petersburg and he needed 3 sets for Millman in Beijing.
Fritz is having a huge year, playing career high tennis. If the court was slower then I wouldn't trust him to stay close to Bautista but as its a very fast court and Fritz is a very big server, I am sure he will take enough games for this to go over. He played the quals here in Shanghai which is a huge advantage for him since he relies a lot on his serve, he defeated Seppi and Millman in straight sets and went on to beat Robert in three in the first round.
Expect Fritz to hold his serve enough times for the match to go over this line.
|Over 21.5||Pinnacle||1.86||8||0-2 LOST (-8 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.