Kaunas Zalgiris vs Jonava by Filipson
We have to expect an overish and open match, as the hosts desperately need points and have to go for a win. Kaunas Zalgiris are at the very bottom of the table with 13 points, and they are fighting with Utenis for the 7th spot that leads to the relegation playoff, where they should be the favorites against a 2nd-league side. There is only 1 point between them and Utenis, so they will be extremely motivated to book 3 points here and claim their position. The hosts have recently played a tie with Utenis here, 1:1,and defeated Stumbras 2:1, so they can obviously take points here, especially against the sides just above them, and we should expect from the to find a way to Jonava's net for sure.
The guests have 22 points and they do not have to worry that much, as they are far from those 2 dangerous places. However, they won't let the hosts take everything, and we should expect from them to go forward. They've recently managed to stay unbeaten against both Trakai and Suduva, winning in the last round to Utenis, so they seem to be in a decent shape. They score a bit over a goal per match, and a halfof their games have ended with 3 or more goals, but I believe they can go over that average here,as they are going to play against the worst defence in the league. Kaunas have conceded 47 goals in 22 games, and due to their terrible defence they are the most attractive side in the league with 14 games with at least 3 goals. So, we can see that they are more-less used to playing overish games, but their mutual matches also point on goals.
From their all 9 duels, amazing 6 have ended this way, from which 3 in a row, and those last 3 duels have had at least 4 goals, which is amazing. They are obviously very motivated against each other, and given the importance of this match, especially for the hosts, we may see something similar again. Good luck!
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|BTTS & Over 2.5||Bet365||2.00||8||0-1 LOST (-8 units)|