Miami Marlins vs Kansas by Sors

Tom Koehler (9-8 with a 3.82 ERA) will start for the Miami Marlins, who are currently 2 ½ games behind the Cardinals in the race for the last NL wild-card spot.


The 30-year-old right-hander is obviously in a good form lately, as he’s allowed three or fewer earned runs and lasted at least six innings in each of his last six starts (3-0 with a 1.62 ERA).Koehler is 4-3 with a 3.36 ERA in eleven home starts this year.


In the matter of fact, Koehler was tagged for 5 runs over 5 1/3 innings in his lone start against the Royals, but that game was in 2013, while now he’ll face an opponent that was limited to 3 runs on 19 hits in its last three games.


The Royals’ rotation posted a 1.86 ERA over the last nine games (8-1), but Edinson Volquez (9-10 with a 5.04 ERA) is obviously the weak link in the chain.


The veteran right-hander went 1-2 with a 7.24 ERA over his last five starts, surrendering 6 hits and 4 runs over 4 1/3 innings in the last of them, a 5-4 home win against Minnesota last Friday.


However, there are two things that should be taken into account here: Volquez posted a 0.99 ERA in four interleague starts this season and is 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his last four starts against the Marlins.He limited them to just 1 hit over seven scoreless innings of a 7-2 win at PNC Park on Aug. 7, 2014, with seven strikeouts.


Oswaldo Arcia is 3-for-8, with a double, a homer and 2 RBI off Volquez, Jeff Francoeur is 3-for-10, with a solo home run and two walks, Ichiro Suzuki is 5-for-16, with an RBI and a walk, but Dee Gordon, Adeiny Hechavarria, Marcell Ozuna and Martin Prado are a combined 6-for-38.


The Miami Marlins were limited to three or fewer runs in six of their last eight games (4-4), with a .239 batting average and 24 runs over that span.


I expect less than eight runs in the final game of this series between the Miami Marlins and Kansas City Royals.


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Pick Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
under 8.00 Pinnacle 1.78 8 2-5 WON (+6.24 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
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