Ludogorets vs Viktoria Plzen by GlacialSpirit
Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Ludogorets progressed to this leg after firstly defeating Mladost Podgoritsa with a comfortable 5-0 aggregate score and then dramatically knocking out Crvena Zvezda after two draws with a score of 2-2 and two extra time goals on Serbian soil for the 6-4 aggregate win. In the Bulgarian league Ludogorets so far played 2 games. The first one they defeated Botev Plovdiv 4-1 and in the second a few days ago they lost to last year runner-ups Levski Sofia away after a stoppage time goal of Levski hot prospect Bozhidar Kraev. The score itself wasn’t that much of a problem considering the early stage of the competition and that Ludogorets were focused more on the game against Viktoria Plzen than Levski, but they were dealt a serious blow after midfielder Abel Anicet suffered broken ribs in the game and will most likely miss the Champions League tie. Central defender Igor Plastun is suspended after facing the red card before half time in the game against Crvena Zvezda. Luis Palomino will probably fill the space in the defense partnering with Cosmin Moti. Palomino played well against Levski last game but made a few mistakes against Crvena Zvezda including the penalty from which the Serbian side managed to level the score. In terms of attack Claudio Ceseru is expected to lead the line his efforts supported by Wanderson, Cafu and Marcelinho with Dyakov and Lukas Sasha with holding midfield roles. Head Coach Georgi Dermendzhiev likes his teams controlling the game and usually plays with attacking style of football.
Viktoria Plzen managed to get into this round after defeating Qarabag with an away goal after drawing 0-0 at home and 1-1 away after late equalizer from Michael Krmencik. Head Coach Roman Pivarnik has no right to be happy with his team as especially in the first leg at home Viktoria were favourites to take advantage. In the Czech League Viktoria so far won 7 points after defeating away Visocina and Pribram with 2-1 and 3-0 accordingly and drawing 1-1 home against Bohemians. Except for last game against Pribram Viktoria didn’t look impressive in attack at all. Against Qarabag they had controlled the game but failed to create enough chances and looked prone to making costly errors in defense. Their problems worsen as defender Marian Cisovsky will miss the tie with an infection. Roman Hubnik, Lukas Hejda, David Limbersky and Ales Mateju will probably form the defense with Slovakian Goalkeeper Kozacik in goal. Michal Duris along with Marek Bakos and Jan Kovarik will be expected to create trouble for Ludogorets defense.
Both these teams have reached the Champions League group stage with Ludogorets managing that in 2014 getting into a tough group with Real Madrid, Liverpool and Basel. Viktoria also played in a tough group in 2011-12 alongside FC Bracelona, AC Milan and BATE Borisov. Statistically Ludogorets has lost only one game out of its last 18 on home ground and they look formidable at home even in the Champions League since they lost only 3 games at home out of their 13 in the competition. Viktoria Plzen on the other side hasn’t tasted defeat in their last 11 games and may prove to be a difficult nut to break. My expectations for this tie is an open game with Ludogorets trying to create chances and Plzen hitting hard on the counter thus making both teams to score bet and over 2.5 viable options. Still I’m going to rely on Ludogorets home form and place my bet on them with a 0.0 AH bet for insurance.
|Ludogorets 0.0 AH||Bet365||1.55||8||2-0 WON (+4.4 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.