Lithuania vs Australia by GooFy741
There’s going to be a great and tight match between Lithuania and Australia at Olympics Basketball. The match favorite is Australia by the bookies. Australia has shown a great form at the group stage with 4 wins and only 1 loss. Only USA has shown a better form with 5-0 record. What is more, the only Australians loss was against almighty USA. Anyway, Australia has a perfect balance of a great offence and a tough defense. They also have couple great NBA players such as Patty Mils and Matthew Dellavedova. Mils is a scoring machine with a 20.5 points per game on average. Meanwhile, Dellavedova gives 8.6 assists per game on average which is the most assists during this year Olympics Basketball. Looking to Australians defense, there’s a great player in the centre Andrew Bogut. He should be a great antidote for Jonas Valanciunas firepower.
Lithuanians form wasn’t as good as Australians. They have won 3 of their 5 group matches. The last two matches were losses against very strong European teams. Spain has just crushed Lithuania with a score 109-59. Probably one of the main Spanish winning facts was that they were scoring almost every shot they made. They have scored 50% of their 3 point shots and 63.9% of their 2 point shots. Gasol has made 3 shots in a row from downtown in the third quarter and Rubio has scored 3 of 4 three pointers, while before this match Rubio missed all of his shots from downtown. What is more, Spain ought to win this match in order to keep their chance reaching quarter finals. Meanwhile, Lithuania was already 100% sure to reach next stage and a loss against Spain doesn’t mean anything. The second Lithuanians loss was against Croatia. Argentina started accusing Lithuania that they are playing dirty game and it’s agreed between Lithuania and Croatia to lose the game. But the fact is that once again, the match doesn’t mean anything for Lithuania. If they would have won against Croatia, they become 1st in a group and do not meet USA until the final. On the other hand, the loss makes 3rd in the standings, which once again make them, do not meet USA until the final and also they are more favorable to the Australia as their opponent on quarter finals than Serbia. So in my opinion last two matches was a tactical move in order to not shown the whole power.
Mantas Kalnietis was the one who was showing a great performance during every single group stage game. He’s keep scoring to name what and tries to ignite team. Kalnietis is a second with an 8 assists on average. What is more, he is still 1st by efficiency per game. Jonas Valanciunas is not doing his job as good as it was expected. Even though Lithuanians make 3.4 blocks per game on average, there are some big problems in rebounding. Also it looks like the team has some problems inside. During the last 2 games Kazlauskas only took several time outs. It looks stupid, because once your team is losing, head coach usually takes time out in order to give other instruction to keep his team move forward or in order to stop opponents being “on fire”. What is more, after the match with Croatia J. Kazlauskas gave an interview and he said: “Some players should come down on the ground”. This also makes questions about team inside relationships.
Despite the fact that Lithuanians form has become much worse in last two matches, I believe that this might be a tactical move or some problems inside the team. There is no other way to go right now. Only a win today can let the team move to the next stage. Australia is not a weak team and I would say that they are very equal to Lithuania. Meanwhile, the odds might be based only on statistics and they are way too big for Lithuania. Lithuania has met Australia 5 times in last 3 years and they won 4 of these matches. So today I am betting on Lithuania win.
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|Lithuania||Bet365||2.67||8||90-64 LOST (-8 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.