Cerezo Osaka vs Yamaga by MagicRat

These two teams occupy second and third place in the league with just two points separating them with Yamaga doing better in second place.


Eight of Cerezo's matches this season have had over 3.5 goals and six of those have come in their home matches. In three of their last five matches there have been over 3.5 goals and five of their last eight home matches have also had over 3.5 goals, including their last two home matches. They have scored two or more goals in their last three matches and in four of their last five matches they have conceded two or more goals. In fact, they have conceded three goals in three of their last five matches. Seven home matches have seen them score at least two goals and in six of their last nine home matches they have conceded two or more goals and four of those matches saw them concede at least three goals.


Yamaga have only had six matches over 3.5 goals with three of them coming in away matches. Their home matches tend to have fewer goals, as did their early away games this season but after keeping six clean sheets in their opening eight away matches they have conceded in each of their last six away matches and in three of them they have conceded two goals. They have also scored in seven of their last eight away matches and in six of those they scored two or more goals, with a four goal and three goal haul in there.


I think there is a decent chance of over 3.5 goals in this match given the recent way these teams have been scoring and conceding, so I think odds of 3.98 are giving us plenty of value.

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Pick Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Over 3.5 goals Marathonbet 3.98 8 0-1 LOST (-8 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
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