Lithuania vs Argentina by RageBlade

Hello, Today I skip risky Lithuania football A lyga maches, so I go with Olimpics Basketball. Under 165.5 in mach between Lithuania and Argentina. Argentina started Olimpics with wins against Nigeria nad Croatia. Nicolas Laprovitola and Facundo Campazo are pulling strings on offensive They had very good 3pt percentage in these maches. They offense is based on quick fast breaks and 3pt shots. I think we won't see anything similar in tonights mach, because of Lithuania Deffense. Argentina is old team and I think they can't play this fast paced tempo baskteball all Olimpics long. They just don't have enough energy. I think there will be alot of inside pain area battles. Machup between Scola and Jankunas will be very interesting. Paulius Jankunas is known because of his "dirty" style of play. He uses elbows and other dirty thing on defense and offense. This certainly won't help Scola to score his points.

 

Talking about Lithuania, they started this Olimpics with 2 wins also. They won against Nigeria and hosts Brazil. Lithuania is team based purely on defense. There is no star players (apart Valanciunas) and everything is based on slow tempo, build-up posts play. In starting 5 we have 3 players who are known because of defense, not offense. I mean Maciulis, Seibutis and Jankunas. Seibutis is playing very good Olimpics. He scores almost everything he shoots, but this is not why he is Lithuanias starting SG. Seibutis is Top 5 perimeter defeners in all Olimpics I think. He will be headache to Laprovitola and Campazo. Without their "architects", Argentina won't be so sharp, and I certainly think that Seibutis will make Laprovitola and/or Campazo disapear.

 

These two teams met in friendly before and that went to over this line. But officials were terrible (because mach was played in Argnetina..) and did everything they got to help Argentina win. Mach went to 2 overtimes. Without overtimes this would've been easy under.

 

All in all, I think we won't see anything like that first mach. Yes, Argentina may try to run, but I don't think they have enough energy in their old tanks. Lithuania should control tempo and win. I go with under 165.5 for good value and odds.pin
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Pick Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Under 165.5 Unibet 1.82 9 81-73 WON (+7.38 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
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Comments (1)
LucaGarzeli
Nice analisis.
08/12/2016 - 07:25
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