In probably the most unbalanced match at this Euro Germany and Northern Ireland will face off on Parc des Princes tonight from 18:00 CET. Germany has impressed everyone with their showing against Ukraine in the first round, but looked stale against Poland and their could even consider themselves lucky by picking one point since the poles had some big opportunities to score on counters. Today they should have an easy day at the office playing against the weakest side at this Euro. Even though NIR won against Ukraine they are a team, in my opinion, without any margin of progress. They defend in numbers, are very well organised, have fast attacking wingers and they run a lot and that may be enough to win a qualies group with the likes or Romania and Hungary, win against Ukraine here in France but I doubt that is hardly enough to even be competitive against GER. But if GER is defending well at NIR set pieces I find it very hard to fathom how O'Neill's boys will score. Germany undoubtedly thinks about the KO phase of the competition when the real fun for them begins. And they not only want to win the group in order to meat an easier adversary in the R16 but also to probably avoid Spain in the QFs, targeting in return a match in that phase of the competition against Italy/Croatia, pretty hard still but I have no doubt that they will take those two over Spain any day of the week. Since Ukraine looked dreadful against NIR I and Yarmolenko and co. are already out Poland should win their outing tonight and maybe by more than one, so Germany should seek at least a two goal victory tonight to avoid any surprises. I understand why the odds on GER -1,5 are so big: the small teams at this Euro aren't just sparring partners, they defend very well and even when the victory seems to be a given judging by the difference in quality between the players of FRA/ROU, POR/ISL or FRA/ALB what happens on the pitch is not as one-sided as expected. Adding to this GER lackluster performance offensive wise against POL this odd is not as unexpected. Still, if GER are on point at NIR set pieces they won't receive also the brits defence is not as waterproof as the statistic suggest when the ball is kept at the field level so my bet here is GER -1,5.
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|GER -1,5 AH
||1-0 LOST (-8 units)|