Federer vs Zverev by Jessica Pare

Federer - Zverev


18.06.2016, 12:00, Halle, semifinal, grass


It was expected that in this match the bookie would promote a clear victory for Roger, but also against Bags there is a total disregard for what I call "the blonde beast" that is playing at high pace, with large% of first serve ball , with a coolness from the incredible play from baseline that allows him to play the point always in a controlled and rational way.


Zverev is a champion of this sport, is proving to be able to play well against anyone and against this version of Roger everything is possible!


We saw Federer in the quarter in the second set against Goffin (not in perfect shape) lose more times the service while Alex was a war machine against Bags especially on the break points and the set points of the opponent.


This game will be more balanced than the shares want to make it look thats why i suggest over 22.5



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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
over 22.5 Unibet 1.86 8 1-2 WON (+6.88 units)
0 0
Comments (9)
Goffin who is stronger player then Zverev didn't success to do that.
People have fear still when facing Federer and that affects their play.
06/18/2016 - 00:56
Jessica Pare
Aron, I hope you've seen the Goffin tournament, the Belgian was in big trouble all the week, could clearly lose against Stakhovsky if Sergiy was not inconsistent as usual! (got also an injury during the match)

Besides, what makes special Zverev is his quality of not having reverential awe against senior opponents in the rankings, even when meets an important player on the field, he tends to play better, see what he did against Bags!

At moment Zverev is much more solid that Goffin mentally and Federer is not 100% fit, this will be a very balanced match!
06/18/2016 - 01:18
Hi Jessica

What makes me wonder is why do you always play it 'over' and never '3 sets’ ? Isn't like 80% of the matches which are over are also in 3 sets.. the odds for 3 are bigger.
06/18/2016 - 02:37
Jessica Pare
@ Miri cause you can take over also with 2 set with result like this: 76 64, if you know what i mean :)
06/18/2016 - 02:42
Well coz here they might play 6-4 7-6 and the bet will go through, or 7-5 7-5 or 7-5 7-6 or 7-6 7-6

All these results are quite possible on super fast surface like grass...
06/18/2016 - 07:30
Baghda beat him self yesterday...
David is much better on return that gave some problems to Roger.

Roger takes this!!
06/18/2016 - 09:41
because going to the tiebreak gets you 13 games, then even a break is possible
06/18/2016 - 10:47
Ok , thank you. To be honest, I expected a more plausible explanation. Personally, I believe 3 sets bet is better , the odds are always over 2 , around 2.20 . Over is good, but we see more often results like 7-6, 6-3 or 7-5 6-4 (losing the over) than 7-6-7-5 (winning the over)
06/18/2016 - 12:15
Jessica Pare
@Miri if you look to take big profit i think your idea is good, but when you bet against important player as Bags or Roger i think safe bet (like over) is better option.

Thats all ;)
06/18/2016 - 15:44
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