Poland vs Lithuania by Ashjkc
Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Any manager would use the Lithuana match to regain confidence and score as many goals as possible.
Prior to their defeat on Wednesday they had won five in a row, scored 15 goals, and conceded just four to go with their seven match unbeaten streak. It’s this sort of form that saw them challenge World Champions and rivals Germany for the top spot in qualifying, but unfortunately for them they just missed out and ended up a point adrift of them in 2nd place.
Lithuania, unsurprisingly, didn’t manage to qualify from their group and hence has nothing much to play for here. The Polish side has much more to prove.
The visitors lost against Latvia in the Baltic Cup on Wednesday to make it nine defeats, two wins, and one draw from their last 12 outings. Away from home they are winless in ten matches though and have lost eight of them.
I’m expecting Poland to put in a good performance on Monday as they look for a morale boosting result ahead of their group opener against Northern Ireland. They have won by more than a single goal in three of their last five outings and Lithuania have lost by more than a single goal in half of their last ten away days. The majority of these away games came against lesser opponents than Poland as well, and their frailties are highlighted when you look at comprehensive defeats to Russia, England, Hungary, and Switzerland. They even lost 2-0 to Malta.
Poland have won three, drawn one, and lost two of their last six matches against Lithuania. (though this represents matches played years back)
Poland will field the strongest squad available to them on Monday, with Robert Lewandowski and Arkadiusz Milik providing the biggest threat as they team up up front. Jacub Blaszczykowski and Bartosz Kapustka both possess some talent behind them, whilst Piotr Zielinski is pushing for a starting place after an excellent season and can add a bit of creativity into an industrious midfield.
Lithuania will use the same squad as their Baltic Cup game against Latvia, with 21 year old AaB striker Lukas Spalvis and captain Fiodor Cernych being the main threat for them.
So, I believe that not only the Polish side should win but will also cruise pass its opponent of the day.
|Poland and over 2.5||Bet365||1.90||7||0-0 LOST (-7 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.