Juventud vs Penarol by MagicRat
The final game of the clausura season sees these two teams bring their seasons to a close with Juventud with nothing to play for whilst Penarol will be looking to prevent Nacional from taking second spot.
Juventud have had the seventh most goals in their matches this season with four of their 14 matches having over 3.5 goals, two of which have come in home matches. In five of their last nine matches they have scored two or more goals and they have only kept three clean sheets in their 14 matches throughout the Clausura.
Penarol have had the fifth most goals in their matches this season and they have also had four matches go over 3.5 goals and two of those have come in away matches. Penarol have impressed going forward as they possess the second best scoring record in the league. They have only failed to score in two league matches this year and they have scored two or more goals in five of their last nine matches in all competitions and in their last three matches they have conceded two or more goals in each of them with two of the matches going over 3.5 goals.
I think there's a good chance of over 3.5 goals and odds of 3.00 from Bet365 look to be good value, especially when you consider over 2.5 goals is around 1.65-1.75 at most bookmakers and over 3.5 goals is closer to 2.75 elsewhere.
|Over 3.5 goals||Bet365||3.00||8||1-1 LOST (-8 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.