England vs Turkey by ScandinavianSR
England has never, in these two teams 10 matches of history, conceded a goal from Turkey. But they've crushed them almost every single time. Let's go back to 1984 where England and Turkey played for the first time in an attempt to qualify for the World Cup. England was the away team, and Turkey was all-time favourites to be beaten by every single team in their respective groups, and there was something about that, because England beat them 8-0. The following year they beat them 5-0. Surprisingly, a 0-0 draw occured two years after. England then crushed them once again 8-0 at home, then 1-0 twice, 4-0 and 2-0 twice. The last time these teams played against each other was way back in 2003 where the fixture ended with a 0-0 draw. But there is, however, one thing that we have to keep in mind, even though Turkey has never scored a goal against England, and that is that The Turkey national football team has changed a lot.
England is at 1.50 to beat Turkey and the draw can be backed at a sweet-loving 4.20, but let's dig a little deeper. England welcomed Holland earlier this year and they lost 1-2. They also visited Spain and lost 2-0. In the World Cup group stages of 2014, England were kicked out with their pants down by losing a game to Italy and Uruguay, and they even drawed with Costa Rica. Terrible performance - scoring two goals and conceding four in three matches and only getting one point from those three fixtures? It's a joke, but as Turkey has, England has too become a stronger national team.
Turkey are unbeaten in their last 13 games with ten winning matches and three draws, keeping six clean sheets and not conceding more than one goal in a game since the end of 2014. They visited Austria and beat them 1-2 and welcomed Sweden and beat them 2-1 as well. They crushed Holland 3-0 at home and continued to beat the Czech Republic national football team 0-2 and Iceland 1-0 at home. They've been playing very well, and we all know that they are not as bad as the bookmaker's odds might suggest.
Wayne Rooney and Marcus Rashford will not face Turkey as they were playing the FA Cup final duty with United. Sturridge is also not available having played the final for Liverpool in the Europa League. Nathaniel Clyne, Chris Smalling, Adam Lallana and James Milner will not play as expected due to the finals. It is very likely that the starting lineup will have Forster, Walker, Kane, Vardy, Alli, Barkley, Stones, Cahill, Rose, Dier and Wilshere.
If we're taking a look at Turkey's lineup we know for sure that Arda Turan will be absent for the game as he is involved with Barcelona in the Copa del Rey final with Sevilla tonight. It is likely that the starting lineup will have Babacan, Ozyakup, Malli, Tosun, Gonul, Erkin, Calhanoglu, Calik, Tufan, Inan and Topal.
Turkey have scored in all but one of their last 17 away games, and they're favourites in my book to score once again. At the end of the day, a win for England at 1.50 has no value, but it is truly pleasing and appealing to my senses to combine it with both teams to score. Still and all, I'm going to back both teams to score inside the 90 minutes of play at 2.20.
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|BTTS||Bet365||2.20||8||2-1 WON (+9.6 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.