Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye by MagicRat
Six points separate Shandong Luneng and Henen Jianye coming into this match with Henan on 14 points in 5th and Shandong on eight points in 14th.
Shandong have seen the highest number of goals in their matches of any other team in the league with an average of 3.00 in their nine matches so far. If you look at their recent games in all competitions then there haven't been loads of goals but some of these games have come against good opposition in the Asian Champions League. At home in the league they have seen plenty of goals in their matches with all four home matches having over 3.5 goals resulting in an average of 2.50 goals scored and 2.25 goals conceded. Shandong have scored two or more goals in ll four home matches, scoring three in two and they have conceded three goals in two matches as well with three of the four games producing five goals.
When looking at Henan's home fixtures you see very few goals. In fact their opening four home matches have only seen three goals in total but their away matches have seen an average of 3.20 goals having scored 1.60 and conceded 1.60. Their only match to go over 3.5 goals took place in their last away match when they lost 4-3 to Hebei. They have scored two or more goals in their last two away matches and they have managed to score in all five away matches.
With Henan finding the net in all five away games and conceding in their last four away matches, as well as the scoring power and likelihood of conceding when it comes to Shandong I expect there to be goals in this match. Shandong's high scoring games come at home and Henan's come away, so I'm happy to take odds of 3.45 given think they should be closer to 3.00.
|Over 3.5 goals||10bet||3.45||8||0-0 LOST (-8 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.