NEC Nijmegen vs Roda Kerkrade by DoubleDown
Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Both of these teams were promoted from the Eerste Divisie last season. Roda finished 32 points behind 1st place, NEC Nijemegen, who left Holland’s entire second division in the dust in 2015! Finishing with a perfect home record and a staggering 101 points, overall, 21 points ahead of second place!
Since acquiring some decent goal tending earlier this season(Brad Jones), I think Nijmegen has a good chance to qualify for the Europa play-offs. Besides Jones, they have some promising talent like Belgian national team starter, Limbombe as well as PSV loner, Marcel Ritzmaier. Then of course, the way underrated Venezuelan striker, Christian Santos! Together and in less than a season these guys have taken the newly promoted Nijmegen all the way up to 3rd place @ home, 2 points ahead of Feyenoord and just 4 behind PSV and Ajax! Not an easy task, Holland is known for their solid home performances.
NEC @ home has a 11-2-3 record with 24 goals scored and 15 conceded. Overall they sit in 8th place with 13 wins, 7 draws and 12 loses with 36 goals scored and 39 allowed and 46 points. If they NEC wins here today and Zwolle draws or loses in Excelsior, they will reclaim 7th place overall.
Nijmegen has won their last 3 at home and their only 3 loses at home this season came from PSV, Alkmaar and Ajax, 3 very strong Eredivisie-clubs!
Roda has a 4-4-8 visiting record with 17 goals scored and 29 allowed. Overall they sit in 14th place with a 7-10-15 record, while scoring 30 goals and conceding 51. They have 31 points and have lost their last 4 games. The last time Roda scored against Nijmegen was in March of 2014.
I figure NEC will win by at least 1 so I went with the safe AH -1, I also made a couple of bets for NEC to straight out win but this pays out .75 per 1.00 risked more and if they only win by 1, it's a push! Therefore, little risk and higher reward, or I win nothing =) Good luck!
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|NEC Nijmegen AH -1||Bet365||2.75||10||1-2 LOST (-10 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.