GS Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks by Luca Garzeli

Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
GS-Warriors
VS
Dallas-Mavericks
I'm pretty sure that this bet has some value here. Tonight Dallas rested some players looking for the post-season healthy of the team (Dirk Nowitzki, Deron Williams) and has two more with injury (Devin Harris and Chandler Parsons). Parsons is out for the season, and that fact suposed a big blow for the team. Parsons could be and interesting player in the post-season, and now I think, sincerely, that Dallas will be out of the First Round in Playoffs against Golden State, San Antonio, Oklahoma or Clippers, both 4 teams are much better than Rick Carlisle's team.

 

We have 3 h2h this season: Dallas won by a big margin when Steph Curry was ill, and then 2 big wins by GSW, 18 and 20 points, the last game played 1 week ago in Dallas. GSW won by 16 points the Los Angeles Clippers 2 nights ago, and the team will rest 2 days since the matchup against Phily (Sunday 27). I think -16 is a very interesting bet, and I my prediction here is GSW winning in a margin of 17-21 points.

 

I think we have some good bets for this game:

 

Golden State -16 @1.90

 

Golden State -21.5 @3.75

 

Golden State -26.5 @9

 

In the 2 first bets, we have more than 50% in -16 and more than 40% in -21.5 in my opinion. The last 2 games at home were won by GSW by a 21 points margin vs Utah and 36 points margin vs NYK. Everything depens how GSW want to win that game. Dallas Maverick's bench played good games against Houston or New Orleans, but when 2nd unit must to play against good teams, isn't the same kind of game (blowout against OKC, for example).

 

I'll pick the 3 bets stakes 10/10 - 5/10 and 1/10.

 

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Golden State -16 Pinnacle 1.93 10 128-120 LOST (-10 units)
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