Rochdale vs Crewe by DrVonKlaps

Rochdale
VS
Crewe
Rochdale vs Crewe, England League 1

 

The main concept is that Crewe shows a significant improvement in the last matches, but the odds continue to underestimate them. And they do so also versus teams who are not on the top level (with all the respect).

 

Rochdale have won 7 out of 14 home matches. Crewe on the other side have not lost in 7 out of 14 away matches.

 

Rochdale lost 4 of the last six matches, defeated also by Crew, away, 10 days ago, whereas Crewe is undefeated in the last 5 matches. And that against top level teams such as Wallsall, Millwall and Wigan.

 

Crew also appears to have a much stronger motive fighting to avoid relegation.

 

In conclusion, I am based on recent form, I also have motive and I bet against a team not of the top of the table and who does not have a great home record (7-2-5).

 

I estimate home win probability around 50%, The other 50% (i.e. X2) bookmakers give it to us for 2,40 odds.

 

So I also have good odds.

 

X2 @ 2,40

 

Good Luck

 

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Pick Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
X2 Bet365 2.40 7 2-2 WON (+9.8 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
0 0
Comments (1)
vrakpants
thanks a lot, it made my day
02/17/2016 - 01:45
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