North Carolina vs Pittsburgh by QuidProQuo
North Carolina Tar Heels are hosting Pittsburgh Panthers at E.Smith Center in early game today. This is ACC match-up and both of the teams are struggling a bit lately, after red-hot starts of the season.
North Carolina is 9-2 in conference and 20-4 overall, but those two losses came in last three games to Louisville and Notre Dame. Last game they hardly beat Boston College 68-65, despite being 20.5 point favorites. They are still unbeaten at home, but they are not covering spreads and not playing well. Pittsburgh is only 6-5 in conference and 17-6 overall. They also started really strong with only 1 loss in non-conference play, but started to cool down. They lost three of their last five games.
North Carolina is only 1-3 ATS in their home conference games for the season. They are also just 1-6 ATS in their last seven conference games and 0-5 ATS in their last five vs. team with a winning record. Pittsburgh is solid 3-2 ATS in their conference games on the road. Actually, they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games and also 5-2 ATS in their last seven vs. a team with a home winning % greater than .600.
I don't think North Carolina is playing well enough to be favored by double-digits over solid Pittsburgh team, so taking points tonight makes sense to me. Take Pittsburgh...
|Pittsburgh +10||Pinnacle||2.01||8||85-64 LOST (-8 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.