Valencia vs Real Madrid by Voetbal-Inside
Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Hosts Valencia are in 10th place with 22 points and a 5-7-5 record, their goal difference is 21:15. They didn’t win any of their last 5 games, but only lost two of them (1-0 at Sevilla on November 29 & December 31 away at Villarreal 1-0). In the last 10 times these teams played, Real Madrid only managed to win 4 of them (5 home & 5 away games). The last time Real Madrid won at Valencia was back on December 22 2013 when they won 2-3. At home they are the only team that are still undefeated (together with Barcelona) with a 3-5-0 record. They have conceded least home goals from all teams, only 5 (Las Palmas also have conceded 5 in 8 home games) while scoring 12.
Real Madrid are in 3rd place with 36 points, just 2 points behind league leaders Barcelona and Atletico Madrid. Their current record is 11-3-3 with a 45-16 goal difference. In their last 5 away games the just won 2, and a +2 goal difference. They will have a difficult game ahead of them, and don’t want to fall further behind in the league. But chances are they will when the whistle blows.
The bet for this game is Valencia +1.5 , they are undefeated at home and have conceded fewest goals for home teams. Real Madrid have won 4 out of their 8 away games this season, managing to win 3 of them by 2 goals or more (Eibar, Celta & Espanol). Valencia’s +7 goal difference at home up against Real’s +9 away goal difference give me a good feeling to advice this bet. In last 10 games when Valencia hosted Real Madrid the visitors only managed to cover the -1.5 handicap 3 times. The fans will turn up in big numbers for this one, giving Valencia that little bit of extra to hold on to their undefeated home record for this season for atleast until January 17.
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|Valencia +1.5||BetVictor||1.67||6||2-2 WON (+4.02 units)|