Cardiff Blues vs Scarlets by Sebmc

Llanelli Scarlets are 1st with 8 wins and 2 losses. The team took advantage of the World Cup in England to get ahead of its competitors. Indeed, the Scarlets have won their first six league games before losing against Leinster (19-15). Thereafter, they chained two very ticht victories (against Zebre 20-12 and 22-20 in Treviso). Last week they lost 27-26 at home against the Ospreys. The Scarlets have yet had the opportunity to win this encounter with a penalty of Steve Shingler at the last minute but he missed the target. In the Champions Cup, Scarlets lots their four games. They remain on two setbacks during the double confrontation against Glasgow (Scotland 43-6 and 6-9 at home). This team will be very weakened because Will Boyde, James Davies, Peter Edwards, Rory Pitman, Liam Williams, Scott Williams, Tom Williams, Tom Phillips, Michael Tagicakibau, John Barclay, George Earle are injured. The Welsh international lock, Jake Ball, has, in addition, joined the infirmaru this week. Because of the carnage on the back row, Wayne Pivac was forced to select the usual prop Emyr Phillips on as a substitute in the back row. Since the beginning of the season, the Scarlets have big problem for the extension number 10 where Aled Thomas is struggling.


M. Collins; S. Evans, G. Owen, H. Parkes, DTH van der Merwe; A. Thomas, G. Davies; R. Evans, K. Owens (capt), S. Lee, T. Price, L. Rawlins, A. Shingler, M. Allen, J. Condy. Reps : K. Myhill, P. John, R. Jones, M. Paulino, E. Phillips, A. Davies, S. Shingler, R. King.


Cardiff ranks ninth of RaboDirect Pro 12 with 24 points. The Blues have had a difficult beginning of season with just one win in the first eight games. Since they remain on 2 consecutive successes. Last week, they won by one point to Newport (20-21). Yet they were led by 7 points 10 minutes from time but they scored a try and James Patchell convetet a penalty at the last second. With 243 points scored, the Blues have the best attack of Pro 12 but with 241 points against, they also have the third worst defense. In Rugby Challenge Cup, Cardiff also makes a great run as they are still in the race to qualify for the quarter-finals as the best second. This season, with Patchell, the Welsh have found a true playmaker. He revolutionized the game of his team this season and it is, in addition, a very reliable kicker. He also will join the Llanelli Scarlets last season. Today, Sam Warburton, Gareth Anscombe and Ellis Jenkins are injured.


D. Fish; A. Cuthbert, C. Allen, R. Lee-Lo, T. James; R. Patchell, L. Williams; G. Jenkins (capt), K. Dacey, T. Filise, J. Hoeata, J. Down, J. Turnbull, M. Vosawai, J. Navidi. Reps : E. Lewis, S. Hobbs, D. Lewis, L. Reed, M. Cook, T. Knoyle, J. Evans, G. Smith.


The Scarlets have many significant absentees for the match. Their back row seems very light. Rain is expected this afternoon, so, the backs of the Scarlets should receive less ball and the game should be more restrictive. This should benefit Cardiff that is very strong in drives. Last year, they won against the Scarlets 21-9 and scored two tries on drives. I expect a victory in Cardiff by at least 5 points.

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Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Cardiff - 2.5 Pinnacle 1.99 5 29-27 LOST (-5 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
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