Norwich vs Aston Villa by FP

Norwich were brushed aside easily at White Hart Lane on Saturday as Tottenham Hotspur sauntered to a 3-0 win. Whilst you would think Norwich would be more comfortable back at Carrow Road, I simply cannot see them as a serious betting proposition due to their defensive frailties and lack of a cutting edge in from of goal. From their eight home games so far this season Norwich have managed just two victories, and their only win in their last six games (home and away) was a 2-1 win over Manchester United at Old Trafford. Whilst the Man United game was an impressive result I think the other results give a more accurate demonstration of their ability.


The Manchester United game was also the only occasion in their last seven attempts where Norwich have managed to score more than once in a game. If we look at the goal scoring statistics over the Premier League season so far, Norwich have managed to score more than one goal per game just five times in eighteen matches, and one of those was a 6-2 defeat to Newcastle. Perhaps the more interesting stat is that Norwich have only scored two goals or more in a home league game on one occasion all season so they really do struggle to find the back of the net in front of their own fans.


Villa have had worse problems so far this season and are rooted firmly to the bottom of the Premier League. They are heavy favourites for relegation but it has to be said that the results have got slightly better recently. Although they are still not yet winning, they are not getting hammered every week and are putting up more of a fight. Three of Aston Villa’s last four games have ended in 1-1 draws (against West Ham, Newcastle and Southampton) and they were unlucky not to have won the games against Newcastle and West Ham. Gestede is providing a focal point in attack and Ayew is proving to be a valuable signing.


I am sure that Aston Villa managed Remi Garde will have looked at the Christmas fixture list and identified West Ham at home and Norwich away as games where they really needed to take points from if they are to have any chance of avoiding relegation. They secured just one point from the West Ham game so desperately need three points from their trip to Norwich. Another defeat will add a another nail to the coffin but a win will give fresh hope and a bit of momentum to take into the new year where they will fancy their chance of picking up a few points. After the trip to Norwich they have Sunderland (A) and Crystal Palace (H), followed by Leicester (H), West Brom (A), West Ham (A) and the return fixture against Norwich (H).


Even though it is only Christmas, I believe Villa simply have to take something away from this game and will be backing them in the double chance market, which means I get paid out in full as long as Villa avoid defeat. Take the odds of 1.80 for Aston Villa to win or draw


Good luck with your bets, and feel free to check out my personal site for more tips.

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Aston Villa Double Chance 10bet 1.80 8 2-0 LOST (-8 units)
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